MMC earnings: implied vs. actual move
Marsh and McLennan · Next report: 2026-10-15 BMO
20%
moved more than implied (3/15)3.7%
10-yr avg move (n=37)0.68×
avg actual ÷ impliedHistory
| Date | Implied | Actual (close) | Peak | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | ±4.1% | -8.5% | -9.2% | Beat (moved more) |
| 2025-07-17 | ±2.9% | -0.4% | +2.0% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2025-04-17 | ±3.1% | -4.9% | -7.8% | Beat (moved more) |
| 2025-01-30 | ±3.5% | +0.7% | +1.9% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2024-10-17 | ±3.0% | -0.4% | +1.9% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2024-07-18 | ±2.4% | -1.5% | -2.7% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2024-04-18 | ±3.2% | +2.1% | +4.5% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2024-01-25 | ±3.8% | -3.8% | -5.2% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2023-10-19 | ±2.1% | +0.7% | +1.9% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2023-07-20 | ±2.6% | +1.0% | +1.9% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2023-04-20 | ±3.0% | +3.5% | +4.1% | Beat (moved more) |
| 2023-01-26 | ±4.7% | +1.4% | -1.7% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2022-10-20 | ±3.0% | -1.5% | -1.8% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2022-07-21 | ±5.6% | +3.0% | +4.5% | Miss (crushed) |
| 2022-04-21 | ±4.6% | +2.5% | +5.0% | Miss (crushed) |
Source: EarningsWatcher, https://earnings-watcher.com/wiki/mmc-implied-move
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